Tom Verducci’s Top 10 Truths to Expect This MLB Postseason

Key Points:

• The MLB postseason operates under unique dynamics where regular season data often fails to predict outcomes, exemplified by last year's Blue Jays' unexpected World Series performance despite a mediocre ERA ranking.
• Home field advantage in the postseason is modest but meaningful, with home teams winning 52.8% of games this season and 57.3% of potential clinching games over the past decade, emphasizing the importance of small edges in October baseball.
• Bullpen strength is critical, with the Milwaukee Brewers boasting the top-ranked bullpen based on wins, slugging allowed, OPS+, and ERA, while the Padres are notable for aggressive bullpen management despite not having the best pen.
• The introduction of ABS technology allowing overturning of ball-strike calls has increased strategic challenge management, with teams needing to conserve their limited challenges for high-leverage situations to avoid costly errors.
• Key postseason trends include the dominance of home runs as game-changers, increased walk rates due to pitching strategies focused on sequencing and spin, and standout performances like Yankees pitcher Cam Schlittler's use of high fastballs to neutralize opponents, particularly against the Red Sox.