Too early to tell who is winning Iran war, experts say

Key Points:

• US President Donald Trump claimed Iran has agreed to halt uranium enrichment and transfer highly-enriched uranium stockpiles to the US, expecting a deal "in the next day or two," despite ongoing US blockade of Iranian ports.
• Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz after weeks of disruption, but internal criticism emerged within Iran against the negotiating team, highlighting domestic tensions over the talks.
• Experts caution that the US blockade's economic impact on Iran's oil exports will take time to fully materialize, as Iran continues to generate revenue through existing oil cargoes and sophisticated evasion tactics.
• Nuclear experts warn that while Iran's ability to build a bomb may be diminished, its motivation remains high, and partial concessions on enrichment may leave pathways for future nuclear development.
• Regional dynamics show potential shifts, such as direct Lebanon-Israel talks independent of Iran, suggesting a possible weakening of Tehran’s influence over its traditional proxies and complicating the broader geopolitical landscape.