Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Saturday July 18th

Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Saturday July 18th

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Key Points:

  • Three MLB matchups feature sharp money favoring home favorites: Phillies vs. Mets, Brewers vs. Marlins, and Mariners vs. Giants, with line movements indicating strong professional bettor support at DraftKings and Circa Sports.
  • The Phillies, with pitcher Jesus Luzardo performing well in July (0.69 ERA), have seen their odds shift from -160 to -175 against the Mets, who are struggling on the road; historical data supports home favorites with line movement after dropping the opener.
  • The Brewers, boasting the second-best home record in MLB (30-18), have moved from -130 to -145 against the Marlins, with sharps favoring them due to strong pitching and recent form; both teams are above .500, and line movement trends favor the home chalk.
  • The Mariners have also gained steam from -130 to -150 against the Giants after losing the series opener, supported by strong home pitching from Bryan Woo (6-0, 2.10 ERA at home) and poor recent performance from Giants’ Logan Webb; historical stats back home favorites with favorable line movement.

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