
UK to Pass Population Tipping Point in 2026, Think Tank Says
Key Points:
- The number of deaths in Britain this year is projected to surpass the number of births, marking a significant demographic shift, according to the Resolution Foundation.
- This trend is expected to result in a birth shortfall starting in 2026, which will continue to widen over time.
- The think tank described this change as a permanent shift that will increase the UK’s reliance on migration to sustain its population.
- The demographic trend represents the end of a century-long pattern of natural population growth in Britain.











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