Winter forecast just issued, and it’s not your classic Michigan winter
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Winter forecast just issued, and it’s not your classic Michigan winter

MLive.com • • nation

Key Points:

  • NOAA's December through February forecast predicts a warmer-than-normal and drier-than-normal winter for Michigan, largely influenced by the ongoing strong El Niño event expected to continue through winter.
  • Michigan has a 50 to 60 percent chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures, with only about a 6 percent chance of colder-than-normal conditions.
  • The forecast is based on historical patterns from the four strong El Niños since 1950, suggesting mild air from warm waters southwest of the U.S. will impact the Great Lakes region.
  • The storm track is expected to remain active along the southern U.S. and eastern seaboard, giving Michigan a slight chance of below-normal precipitation.
  • If the forecast holds, Michigan may experience an "easy" or "light" winter with fewer freezing days and less snow than usual, though winter conditions will still be present.

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