10/7/26 - PA Governor's Race: Shapiro 59%, Garrity 34%, Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania Poll Finds; Voters Favor Dems To Win Control Of U.S. House By 15 Points

Key Points:

• In the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, 59% of likely voters support incumbent Governor Josh Shapiro, while 34% support Republican Stacy Garrity; Libertarian Ken Krawchuk receives 2%, and 5% are undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University poll.
• Shapiro enjoys strong support among Democrats (95%) and independents (62%), while Garrity leads among Republicans with 79% backing; Shapiro's favorability stands at 55%, compared to Garrity's 22%.
• Fifty-six percent of likely voters express satisfaction with the state's current direction, and Shapiro's job approval rating is 63%, significantly higher than other officials including Senators Fetterman and McCormick and former President Trump.
• A majority of likely voters (54%) prefer Democratic control of the U.S. House, with independents especially favoring Democrats (56%), while opinions on AI data centers in Pennsylvania are divided largely along party lines, with most Democrats and independents viewing them as harmful.
• The poll surveyed 1,159 likely voters from October 1-5, with a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points, and is the first Quinnipiac survey of likely voters in Pennsylvania's 2026 election cycle.