Boxing experts make predictions, picks for Canelo vs. Mbilli

Key Points:

• Canelo Alvarez (63-3-2, 39 KOs) will challenge WBC super middleweight champion Christian Mbilli (29-0-1, 24 KOs) on Saturday in Riyadh, aiming to reclaim a title lost to Terence Crawford in 2025; Alvarez brings extensive experience with 28 title fights, while Mbilli is a relentless pressure fighter known for his late-round strength.
• Boxing analyst Raul Marquez predicts Canelo’s experience and counterpunching ability will be key, advising Alvarez to use body attacks and multi-punch combinations to overcome Mbilli’s aggression, while warning that Canelo’s age and past performance against Crawford could be factors.
• Interim champion Lester Martinez views the bout as evenly matched, emphasizing Mbilli’s consistent pressure and power, while highlighting Canelo’s need to leverage lateral movement and his trademark body-to-head power punches to secure victory.
• Commentator Al Bernstein notes the fight’s intrigue given Canelo’s slight decline since his loss to Crawford and Mbilli’s prime condition; he suggests Mbilli’s high volume and pressure could challenge Canelo’s endurance, but Canelo’s counterpunching style may be well-suited to Mbilli’s approach.
• Overall predictions lean toward a competitive fight with Canelo favored by decision due to experience and skill, though Mbilli’s relentless style and stamina pose a significant threat that could potentially lead to a late stoppage or decision win.