Brazil’s Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro still essentially tied in new poll
Key Points:
- A recent Datafolha poll shows Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leading Senator Flavio Bolsonaro by two percentage points in a potential run-off election, with Lula at 47% and Bolsonaro at 45%.
- The poll results indicate a technical tie since the margin of error is 2 percentage points, reflecting a highly competitive race ahead of the October presidential election.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 40% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 36%, with other candidates trailing significantly.
- Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is currently serving a 27-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn the 2022 election results.
- Other recent polls, including Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus, show similar tight races, underscoring the close competition between Lula and Bolsonaro.