Exclusive: US intelligence assesses Iran maintains significant missile launching capability, sources say
Key Points:
- US intelligence assessments indicate that roughly half of Iran’s missile launchers and about 50% of its one-way attack drones remain intact despite over five weeks of US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military targets.
- Iran’s coastal defense cruise missiles, which threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, are largely undamaged due to the US focusing its air campaign away from coastal military assets.
- The intelligence contrasts with public claims by President Trump and Pentagon officials who assert a dramatic reduction in Iran’s missile and drone capabilities, with some officials stating attacks are down by 90%.
- Iran’s missile launchers are difficult to destroy as many are hidden underground in tunnels and caves, and Iran has successfully moved mobile platforms to evade targeting.
- While Iran’s Navy has been largely destroyed, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy retains significant capabilities, including hundreds of small boats and unmanned vessels, continuing to threaten regional shipping and security.