Final SAG Awards Predictions 2026
Variety••entertainment
Key Points:
- The Screen Actors Guild Awards, now renamed the Actor Awards, remain a crucial predictor for the Oscars, with nominations announced on January 7, 2026, and voting by over 122,000 SAG-AFTRA members.
- The ensemble category continues to be a strong Oscar indicator, with 76% of SAG ensemble-nominated films since 2009 also receiving best picture Oscar nominations.
- Warner Bros.’ “One Battle After Another,” starring Leonardo DiCaprio and Sean Penn, is an early frontrunner with a projected seven nominations, potentially becoming the most nominated film in SAG history.
- Film acting nominations typically align closely with the Oscars, with an 80% overlap since 2009, though non-English language
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