How Greenland Falls

How Greenland Falls

Foreign Affairsworld

Key Points:

  • In this speculative 2028 scenario, the U.S. under President Trump effectively "absorbs" Greenland not through military invasion or purchase, but via a strategy termed "geo-osmosis," involving economic investment, legal maneuvers, and exploiting Greenland's dependencies.
  • The Trump administration launched a $10 billion development initiative in 2026, deploying contractors and aid to build infrastructure and supply essential services, thereby creating economic and political dependence without Greenlandic popular consent.
  • By 2027, Greenland's parliament declared provisional autonomy under U.S. influence, allowing the U.S. to station security forces and negotiate a compact akin to free association, despite strong opposition from Denmark, the EU, and global powers.
  • The move sparked international condemnation,