IDF prepares for surprise Iranian attack as US pursues deal with Tehran

Key Points:

• The IDF is preparing for two major escalation scenarios involving Iran: a US-led aggressive military offensive against Iran and a potential surprise Iranian attack on US and Israeli military bases in the Middle East.
• Diplomatic efforts, led by US Vice President JD Vance, focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and restoring nuclear inspections in exchange for easing the US blockade and releasing frozen Iranian assets.
• Israeli defense officials remain on high alert and have conducted thorough operational assessments, including discussions by senior IDF leadership, to ensure readiness for possible Iranian retaliation or regional escalation.
• Recent limited US military strikes targeted Iranian military assets near the Strait of Hormuz, which have triggered Iranian retaliatory actions, highlighting the risk of escalation despite ongoing diplomatic talks.
• Israeli officials believe US President Donald Trump prefers a diplomatic resolution, but Iran is expected to maintain a hard-line stance and prolong negotiations; a proposed preemptive Israeli strike on Iran was considered and quickly dismissed during recent security discussions.