Nebius' Contracted Power Guidance Continues to Surge. Here's What That Means for the Stock.
Key Points:
- Nebius has consistently raised its contracted power capacity guidance for the end of 2026, increasing from 3 gigawatts in February to 5 gigawatts by August, driven by expansion across North America and Europe.
- The company operates in the rapidly growing AI cloud sector, serving major clients like Meta Platforms and Microsoft, with Meta's $27 billion cloud compute deal set to begin delivery in early 2027.
- Nebius reported a 454% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 to $582.3 million, reflecting strong growth potential as it secures more contracts and builds additional AI data centers.
- Building AI data centers is capital-intensive, leading Nebius to issue $4 billion in convertible notes and rely on borrowing, though large prepayments from contracts (covering 50-60% of capital expenditures) provide immediate cash flow.
- The company is strategically withholding some 2027 capacity to negotiate better terms later, signaling confidence in sustained demand and minimizing immediate capital constraints.