Peltola vs. Sullivan Polls Send Warning to GOP in State Trump Won 3 Times

Key Points:

• Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in Alaska's Senate race, with a new AARP poll showing her ahead 46% to 41% in initial voting and 53% to 47% after ranked-choice voting is simulated.
• The poll reflects a broader trend of competitive polling in Alaska, a traditionally Republican state, where Peltola's support is strong among independents, women, and younger voters, while Sullivan's base is older voters and men.
• Voter concerns about affordability, including rising costs of gas, groceries, and healthcare, are driving support for Peltola, who campaigns on lowering costs and putting Alaska first.
• Alaska's unique political landscape, including its ranked-choice voting system and a large independent voter base, makes the race a key battleground and one of Democrats' best opportunities to flip a Republican Senate seat in 2026.
• Despite Peltola's lead, analysts caution that Alaska is difficult to poll accurately due to its geography and voter diversity, and the race remains highly competitive with 47 days until Election Day.