Polls divided on 2026 election outcomes, as parties battle for supremacy
Key Points:
- Five polls released less than 24 hours after the closing of Knesset 2026 party lists show a highly fragmented political landscape, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party leading in four polls and Likud leading in one (i24NEWS).
- The i24NEWS poll places Likud first with 27 seats and Netanyahu’s bloc, including Ofer Winter’s party, at 60 seats, while other polls show a tie or a slight advantage for the Zionist opposition bloc.
- Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party crosses the electoral threshold in all polls, whereas Hendel and Zelekha’s Reservists and Economic party only crosses it in the KAN News poll.
- Averaging the five polls, Eisenkot’s Yashar leads with 23.6 seats, followed by Likud with 21.8 seats, while the overall bloc distribution remains nearly even with Netanyahu’s bloc at 53.6 seats and the Zionist opposition at 53.4 seats.
- The Arab parties are projected to hold around 12 seats on average, and smaller parties like Blue and White and the Haredi Public party consistently fall below the electoral threshold across most polls.