Russia fires top economist after Ukraine war warning
Key Points:
- Russian officials claim the economy remains strong and resilient despite "unprecedented foreign pressure" following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, contrasting sharply with internal warnings of economic and social crisis.
- Andrei Klepach, former chief economist of Russia's state-controlled development bank VEB and ex-deputy economy minister, was dismissed after warning that Russia cannot win a prolonged war of attrition with Ukraine and predicting a major social crisis.
- Klepach's dismissal highlights the Kremlin's intolerance for dissent and criticism regarding its military campaign and economic policies amid ongoing conflict.
- Russian officials emphasize Russia's relatively low foreign public debt and criticize Western sanctions for harming Western economies, asserting that Russia's economy and public will remain resilient.
- Analysts note that despite some economic growth, Russia's wartime economy faces significant challenges, including heavy military spending, higher taxes, and reliance on subsidized lending, with top economic experts expressing alarm over the situation.