Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 11, 2026
Institute for the Study of War••world
Key Points:
- Russian forces have introduced a new Geran-5 long-range strike drone, derived from Iranian technology, capable of carrying a 90 kg warhead with a range of about 1,000 km, and are developing air-launch capabilities and air-to-air missile integration for the drone.
- Ukrainian forces continued targeted strikes against Russian oil infrastructure in the Caspian Sea, hitting drilling platforms in multiple oil fields, marking at least the fifth such attack since December 2025.
- In Eastern Ukraine, Russian forces maintained offensive operations in multiple directions including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Donetsk, and Pokrovsk, but made limited or no confirmed territorial advances despite intensified efforts and infiltration attempts.
- Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian advances with
