Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2026

Institute for the Study of Warworld

Key Points:

  • Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes overnight on January 5-6 targeting Russian military and energy infrastructure, including the 100th Arsenal near Neya, Kostroma Oblast, and the Gerkon Plus oil depot in Lipetsk Oblast, causing fires and secondary explosions.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with Coalition of the Willing leaders in Paris on January 6 to discuss security guarantees for post-war Ukraine, including ceasefire monitoring, military assistance, multinational deterrence forces, and binding commitments against renewed Russian aggression.
  • A German military document revealed that Russia is intensifying covert attacks and cyber operations against German infrastructure as preparation for a potential future Russia-NATO conflict, with expectations of missile, drone, and special forces strikes