Ten predictions for the potential US strikes on Iran
Atlantic Council • • nation
Key Points:
- US President Trump and advisers are assessing Iran's likely response to a large US military buildup in the Middle East amid ongoing negotiations, with predictions about Iran's actions and US policy options outlined.
- The Iranian regime under Supreme Leader Khamenei is unlikely to offer a strong last-minute nuclear deal, and Trump is unlikely to accept a weak deal, increasing the risk of military conflict.
- Israel may preemptively strike Iran if Trump appears willing to accept a weak deal, reflecting Israel's strategic interests and domestic political considerations.
- Trump is expected to be presented with three military options—limited "Enforce" strikes, broader "Degrade" campaigns, or "Remove" regime leadership—with a low-confidence prediction that he will choose the limited "Enforce
