Democrats hold 9-point edge on midterm congressional ballot
Key Points:
- An Ipsos analysis of the October Reuters/Ipsos Core Political survey finds the Democratic Party leading the Republican Party by 9 points (53% to 44%) among likely voters in the 2026 generic congressional ballot.
- Public approval of President Donald Trump's economic management is low, with only 25% approving of his handling of the economy and 20% approving of his handling of the cost of living, contributing to his overall approval rating of 32%.
- The Democratic Party is now viewed as better able to handle the economy by 34% of Americans, surpassing the Republican Party's 28%, marking a significant shift from January 2025 when the GOP held a 17-point advantage.
- Support within the Republican base for Trump’s economic performance is softening, with fewer Republicans strongly approving his job and more expressing only “somewhat” approval, reflecting waning enthusiasm.
- Democrats continue to show stronger enthusiasm than Republicans for voting in the 2026 midterm elections, potentially influencing turnout and election outcomes.