Donald Trump’s US ratings fall to a record low amid Iran war

Key Points:

• President Donald Trump’s net approval rating has fallen to a record low of -16.9, with significant declines on the economy, trade, and inflation, largely influenced by the Iran war, though immigration approval remains relatively stable.
• Democrats experienced a 25-point swing in their favor in a special election runoff in Georgia’s 14th federal seat, reducing the Republican margin from Trump’s 2024 presidential win by a substantial amount.
• Poll aggregates indicate Democrats currently lead Republicans by 5.5 points in the generic ballot, making it likely they will regain control of the House in the November midterm elections, though the Senate is expected to remain under Republican control.
• The Senate race is challenging for Democrats due to the distribution of seats favoring low-population, rural states; only two Republican-held seats (Maine and North Carolina) are considered vulnerable in the upcoming elections.
• The US unemployment rate remains low at 4.3%, but this is partly due to a declining employment-population ratio, indicating fewer Americans are employed as some leave the workforce rather than an increase in job availability.