Who Wins (and Who Loses) in the Democrats’ New 2028 Primary Calendar?
Key Points:
- The 2028 Democratic primary map replaces traditional early states Iowa and New Hampshire with a six-state sequence starting in South Carolina and ending in Virginia, significantly altering the primary landscape.
- The new primary calendar broadens the race geographically, racially, and ideologically, creating uncertainty about how the contest will unfold.
- South Carolina’s early position increases the influence of Black voters, who make up the majority of its Democratic primary electorate, potentially shifting power dynamics within the party.
- Democratic strategists acknowledge the unpredictability of the new primary format, emphasizing that it could benefit a wide range of candidates.