CBS News Battleground Tracker poll finds Trump motivating both sides, Democrats have edge in seats in fight for House

Key Points:

• Both Republicans and Democrats view the 2026 midterm elections as centered around President Trump, with voters motivated either by support or opposition to him, potentially surpassing his influence in the 2018 midterms.
• Economic concerns, particularly inflation and prices, are driving voter sentiment against the party in power, though most voters doubt either party can significantly improve their financial situations.
• CBS News' House model projects Democrats to hold a narrow majority with around 228 seats, but the range includes the possibility of Republicans retaining control, influenced by strong MAGA Republican turnout and opposition to Democrats.
• Voter enthusiasm is higher among Democrats overall, but MAGA Republicans remain highly motivated to vote, especially those who approve of Trump's stances on immigration, tariffs, and foreign conflicts; however, non-MAGA Republicans show less certainty about voting.
• Key factors influencing the election outcome include economic messaging, demographic shifts such as increased Hispanic voter support for Democrats, and differing views within parties on issues like gas prices and AI's impact on jobs.